Bottom-up estimation is a project management technique where the project is broken down into smaller, more manageable components, and estimates are made for each of these individual components. These estimates are then aggregated to determine the overall project estimate. It's a detailed and granular approach to project estimation, focusing on the specifics of each task or work package within the project.
⁉ Here's how the bottom-up estimation process typically works:
1️⃣ Task Identification: The project is decomposed into smaller tasks or work packages. Each task should be clearly defined and have a specific deliverable.
2️⃣ Estimation of Individual Tasks: Estimates are made for the time, effort, and resources required for each individual task. This can involve input from subject matter experts, historical data, or other relevant sources.
3️⃣ Aggregation of Estimates: The estimates for all the individual tasks are then aggregated to calculate the total project estimate. This involves adding up the estimates for each task, considering dependencies and interrelationships.
4️⃣ Review and Adjustments: The aggregated estimate is reviewed to ensure it aligns with the overall project scope and objectives. Adjustments may be made based on risk assessments, unforeseen challenges, or changes in project requirements.
5️⃣ Final Approval: Once the estimates are reviewed and adjusted, the final project estimate is reviewed with the team. This becomes the basis for project planning, resource allocation, and budgeting.
💹 Benefits of Bottom-Up Estimation:
✅ Accuracy: The detailed nature of bottom-up estimation often leads to more accurate project estimates because it accounts for the specifics of each task.
🚫 Risk Management: It helps in identifying and managing risks at a granular level, as uncertainties are considered for each individual task.
⛱ Resource Allocation: Provides a detailed basis for allocating resources, as specific requirements for each task are taken into account.
🔍 Transparency: Offers transparency in the estimation process, making it easier to understand and communicate with stakeholders.
🚦 Progress Tracking: Enables better tracking of project progress at the task level, facilitating more effective project management.
🏛 Bottom-up estimation is particularly useful for complex projects where there's a need for a detailed understanding of the work involved and where accuracy in estimating is crucial.
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➡ Delphi Technique
1️⃣ A way to reach a consensus of experts on a subject, experts on the subject participate in this technique anonymously
2️⃣ A facilitator uses a questionnaire to solicit ideas about the important points related to the subject
3️⃣ The responses are summarized and are then recirculated to the experts for further comments
4️⃣ Consensus may be reached in a few rounds of this process. This helps reduce bias in the data and keep any one person away from having undue influence on the outcome
➡ Wideband Delphi
1️⃣ Wideband Delphi is a variation of the Delphi estimating method where subject matter experts complete multiple rounds of producing estimates individually, with a project team discussion after each round, until a consensus is achieved
2️⃣ For Wideband Delphi, those who created the highest and lowest estimates explain their rationale, following which everyone estimates
3️⃣ The process repeats until convergence is achieved
4️⃣ Planning Poker is a variation of Wideband Delphi
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